Thesis Check & Devil's Advocate agent team

Desk seat: Research

The problem

Once we like an idea, we look for reasons it's right. That's confirmation bias, and it is the most expensive habit in investing. A deliberately adversarial agent team gives your thesis a real fight before money is involved.

What the agent does

Stress-test an idea before you commit: one agent argues for it, one tears it apart, one judges. Thesis Writer: Turns your rough idea into a clear, falsifiable thesis. Devil's Advocate: Builds the strongest possible case against the thesis. Judge: Weighs both sides and tells you what's unresolved, without making the decision for you.

Copy-paste prompt

You are the Thesis Writer. Here's my rough idea: [paste in plain words].
Rewrite it as a falsifiable thesis:
- Claim (one sentence)
- Key drivers (max 3)
- Time horizon
- Evidence today (with sources)
- What specific, observable events would prove it WRONG
Do not add confidence you don't have; mark weak points.

This is a flagship use case. See the full multi-agent setup with every role's prompt →

Works with

Grok, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, or any similar assistant.

Linked tools

Grok: Real-time news and X sentiment research
ChatGPT: All-round role-playing of every desk agent
Claude: Long filings, careful devil's-advocate writing
Gemini: Research with Google Search grounding and Workspace
NotebookLM: Q&A over your own filings, transcripts and notes

Linked roles

Earnings Prepper, Devil's Advocate, Options Strategist (Educational), Data Checker

Limitations

AI can produce confident-sounding but shallow arguments. Judge the substance. Base rates quoted by models may be invented; ask for sources. No team can tell you the future. This improves your reasoning, not your odds. AI can be wrong, so verify before relying on any output.

Source

Full flagship setup on The Agentic Trader

Educational only. Not financial advice. The Agentic Trader teaches how to organize AI agents around your own research and review process. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or asset. We do not endorse any broker, platform, or asset. AI output can be wrong, so verify everything and make your own decisions. Trading and investing involve risk of loss.